Kick-off · Tue, 8 Dec, 05:30 pm ISTMatchday 13
Madura United vs Bali United: Prediction
Madura United38%Away win
Bali United36% Home win26% Draw38% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.33 – 1.37
Team rating (Elo)1495 – 1561
Recent form
Madura UnitedWLDWLBali UnitedLWLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bali United | 7 | +12 | 13 |
| 2 | Madura United | 7 | +2 | 13 |
Head to head
- Madura United 2–0 Bali United2026-05-05
- Bali United 1–0 Madura United2025-08-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
