FTMatchday 7

Lyon vs Toulouse: Prediction

📍 Groupama Stadium

Lyon1

Toulouse2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

LyonToulouse

Malick Fofanaassist Martín Satriano24'
46'Warren Kamanzion
46'Mário Saueron
51'Abu Francisyellow card
59'Aron Dønnumyellow card
71'Frank Magrion
Adam Karabecon78'
78'Cristian Cásseres Jr.on
78'Djibril Sidibeon
80'Mark McKenzieyellow card
87'Clinton Mataown goal
Afonso Bastardo Moreirayellow card90'
Tanner Tessmannon90'
90'Emersonn Correia da Silvaassist Alexis Vossah

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LyonToulouse

76%Possession24%
1Expected goals (xG)0
5Shots2
2Shots on target0
2Corners1
2Fouls5
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Offsides0
0Saves1
212Passes67

Line-ups

Lyon

98Ainsley Maitland-Niles
8Corentin Tolisso
22Clinton Mata
3Nicolás Tagliafico
19Moussa Niakhaté
6Tanner Tessmann
1Dominik Greif
23Tyler Morton
7Adam Karabec
20Martín Satriano
11Malick Fofana

Toulouse

19Djibril Sidibe
10Yann Gboho
2Rasmus Nicolaisen
23Cristian Cásseres Jr.
3Mark McKenzie
4Charlie Cresswell
12Warren Kamanzi
15Aron Dønnum
1Guillaume Restes
9Frank Magri
77Mário Sauer

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1507 – 1495

Recent form

LyonWWLWW

ToulouseWLLLD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Lyon	9	+4	18
2	Toulouse	9	+2	13

Head to head

Toulouse 0–2 Lyon2026-08-22

Match preview

Lyon host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 5 October 2025. Lyon sit 4th on 18 points and Toulouse are 9th on 13. Lyon have won 4 of their last 5 (WWLWW), while Toulouse have won 1 of 5 (WLLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Lyon won 1, Toulouse won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.