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FTMatchday 3

Lyon vs Sparta Prague: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1507 – 1493

Recent form

LyonWLLWL
Sparta PragueW
#TeamPGDPts
2Sparta Prague2-23

Head to head

  • Sparta Prague 2–1 Lyon2026-08-04

Match preview

Lyon host Sparta Prague in the UEFA Champions League on 11 August 2026. Lyon sit 43rd on 3 points and Sparta Prague are 54th on 3. Lyon have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLWL), while Sparta Prague have won 1 of 1 (W). In their last 1 meetings, Lyon won 0, Sparta Prague won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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