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FTMatchday 5

Lyon vs Rennes: Prediction

Lyon4
FT
Rennes0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
LyonRennes
  1. Moussa Niakhatéyellow card2'
  2. Ernest Nuamahassist Corentin Tolisso7'
  3. 16'Quentin Merlinyellow card
  4. Ernest Nuamahassist Pavel Šulc30'
  5. Zachary Athekame48'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1507 – 1510

Recent form

LyonWWDWD
RennesLDWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Rennes9+116
2Lyon8+614

Head to head

  • Rennes 3–1 Lyon2025-09-14

Match preview

Lyon host Rennes in the Ligue 1 on 19 September 2026. Lyon sit 5th on 14 points and Rennes are 3rd on 16. Lyon have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDWD), while Rennes have won 3 of 5 (LDWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Lyon won 0, Rennes won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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