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Kick-off · Matchday 12

Lyon vs Monaco: Prediction

Lyon
45%Home win
Monaco

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.59 – 1.23
Team rating (Elo)1507 – 1498

Recent form

LyonDWLWL
MonacoDWDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Monaco8+415
2Lyon8+614

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Lyon host Monaco in the Ligue 1 on 29 November 2026. Lyon sit 5th on 14 points and Monaco are 4th on 15. Lyon have won 2 of their last 5 (DWLWL), while Monaco have won 1 of 5 (DWDLD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Lyon 45%, the draw 25% and Monaco 30%, so Lyon are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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