Lyon vs Marseille: Prediction
📍 Groupama Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- Abneryellow card22'
- 29'Conrad Egan-Rileyred card
- 34'⇄Bilal Nadiron
- 41'Angel Gomesyellow card
- 46'⇄Mason Greenwoodon
- ⇄Malick Fofanaon53'
- ⇄Abneron71'
- 72'⇄Timothy Weahon
- Pavel Šulcyellow card80'
- 85'⇄Pierre-Emerick Aubameyangon
- 86'⇄Hamed Junior Traorèon
- ⚽Leonardo Balerdiown goal87'
- 90'Michael Murilloyellow card
- ⇄Adam Karabecon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 58%Possession42%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 17Shots5
- 5Shots on target2
- 9Corners4
- 16Fouls11
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 1Offsides1
- 2Saves4
- 432Passes318
Line-ups
Lyon
- 98Ainsley Maitland-Niles
- 8Corentin Tolisso
- 40Rémy Descamps
- 22Clinton Mata
- 19Moussa Niakhaté
- 6Tanner Tessmann
- 23Tyler Morton
- 7Adam Karabec
- 16Abner
- 11Malick Fofana
Marseille
- 23Pierre Hojbjerg
- 1Geronimo Rulli
- 97Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
- 22Timothy Weah
- 5Leonardo Balerdi
- 20Hamed Junior Traorè
- 10Mason Greenwood
- 8Angel Gomes
- 62Michael Murillo
- 4Conrad Egan-Riley
- 26Bilal Nadir
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
LyonWW
MarseilleLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 9 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 | Lyon | 9 | +4 | 18 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Match preview
Lyon host Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 31 August 2025. Lyon sit 4th on 18 points and Marseille are 3rd on 18. Lyon have won 2 of their last 2 (WW), while Marseille have won 1 of 2 (LW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
