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FTMatchday 3

Lyon vs Auxerre: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1507 – 1456

Recent form

LyonWLWWD
AuxerreLDLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Lyon8+614
2Auxerre8-610

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Lyon host Auxerre in the Ligue 1 on 4 September 2026. Lyon sit 5th on 14 points and Auxerre are 12th on 10. Lyon have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWWD), while Auxerre have won 0 of 5 (LDLLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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