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FTMatchday 4

Lorient vs Toulouse: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
LorientToulouse
  1. Panos Katserisyellow card17'
  2. Ibrahima Baldéassist Panos Katseris37'
  3. Noah Mbamba-Muandaassist Panos Katseris39'
  4. 45'Rafik Messalion
  5. 45'Santiago Hidalgo Massaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1489 – 1506

Recent form

LorientDLDLW
ToulouseWLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Lorient8+112
2Toulouse8+110

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Lorient host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 12 September 2026. Lorient sit 10th on 12 points and Toulouse are 11th on 10. Lorient have won 1 of their last 5 (DLDLW), while Toulouse have won 1 of 5 (WLLDL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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