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Kick-off · Matchday 11

Lorient vs Rennes: Prediction

Lorient
43%Home win
Rennes

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.53 – 1.28
Team rating (Elo)1489 – 1510

Recent form

LorientDLWWD
RennesLWLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Rennes9+116
2Lorient8+112

Head to head

  • Lorient 4–0 Rennes2025-08-24

Match preview

Lorient host Rennes in the Ligue 1 on 22 November 2026. Lorient sit 10th on 12 points and Rennes are 3rd on 16. Lorient have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWWD), while Rennes have won 2 of 5 (LWLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Lorient won 1, Rennes won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Lorient 43%, the draw 25% and Rennes 32%, so Lorient are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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