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FTMatchday 6

Lorient vs Monaco: Prediction

📍 Stade du Moustoir

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
LorientMonaco
  1. 9'Thilo Kehreryellow card
  2. 21'Vandersonyellow card
  3. 38'Thilo Kehreryellow card
  4. 38'Thilo Kehrerred card
  5. Mohamed Bamba40'
  6. Dermane Karimyellow card46'
  7. 46'Vandersonon
  8. 46'Mika Bierethon
  9. Mohamed Bambayellow card48'
  10. Aiyegun Tosinon62'
  11. Mohamed Bambaon62'
  12. 65'Takumi Minaminoon
  13. 65'George Ilenikhenaon
  14. Dermane Karimon72'
  15. Pablo Pagisassist Sambou Soumano76'
  16. 81'Mamadou Coulibalyon
  17. Pablo Pagisassist Jean-Victor Makengo82'
  18. Théo Le Brison83'
  19. Arthur Avomon83'
  20. 90'Ansu Fatipenalty

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LorientMonaco
  • 47%Possession53%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)1
  • 19Shots5
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 2Corners4
  • 10Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • 0Offsides1
  • 1Saves5
  • 513Passes568

Line-ups

Lorient

  • 38Yvon Mvogo
  • 6Laurent Abergel
  • 3Montassar Talbi
  • 15Aiyegun Tosin
  • 11Théo Le Bris
  • 5Bamo Meïté
  • 9Mohamed Bamba
  • 29Dermane Karim
  • 62Arthur Avom
  • 43Arsène Kouassi

Monaco

  • 3Eric Dier
  • 5Thilo Kehrer
  • 18Takumi Minamino
  • 12Caio Henrique
  • 4Jordan Teze
  • 16Philipp Köhn
  • 2Vanderson
  • 13Christian Mawissa
  • 19George Ilenikhena
  • 14Mika Biereth
  • 28Mamadou Coulibaly

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1472 – 1498

Recent form

LorientLWLLD
MonacoLWWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Monaco9+517
2Lorient9-98

Head to head

  • Lorient 1–0 Monaco2026-10-18

Match preview

Lorient host Monaco in the Ligue 1 on 27 September 2025. Lorient sit 16th on 8 points and Monaco are 6th on 17. Lorient have won 1 of their last 5 (LWLLD), while Monaco have won 3 of 5 (LWWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Lorient won 1, Monaco won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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