Kick-off · Thu, 3 Dec, 01:30 am ISTMatchday 13
Liverpool vs Sunderland: Prediction
Liverpool61%Home win
Sunderland61% Home win21% Draw18% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.98 – 0.99
Team rating (Elo)1553 – 1451
Recent form
LiverpoolDWLWWSunderlandLLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Sunderland 0–1 Liverpool2026-02-11
- Liverpool 1–1 Sunderland2025-12-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
