Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 3

Liverpool vs Southampton: Prediction

Liverpool2
FT
Southampton1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
LiverpoolSouthampton
  1. Alexander Isakassist Federico Chiesa43'
  2. 45'Cameron Archeryellow card
  3. Alexander Isakon46'
  4. 51'Cameron Archeron
  5. 51'Caspar Janderon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1523

Recent form

LiverpoolWWWWW
SouthamptonWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Southampton3+36

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Liverpool host Southampton in the EFL Cup on 23 September 2025. Liverpool sit 39th on 3 points and Southampton are 12th on 6. Liverpool have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Southampton have won 2 of 2 (WW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.