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Kick-off · Matchday 6

Liverpool vs Porto: Prediction

58%Home win

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score2-1
Expected goals (model)2.02 – 1.12
Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1465

Recent form

LiverpoolLWWWW
PortoLLL
#TeamPGDPts
2Porto3-40

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Liverpool host Porto in the UEFA Champions League on 9 December 2026. Liverpool sit 8th on 9 points and Porto are 77th on 0. Liverpool have won 4 of their last 5 (LWWWW), while Porto have won 0 of 3 (LLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Liverpool 58%, the draw 21% and Porto 21%, so Liverpool are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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