Kick-off · Sat, 10 Apr, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 31
Liverpool vs Newcastle United: Prediction
Liverpool56%Home win
Newcastle United56% Home win23% Draw21% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.85 – 1.06
Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1529
Recent form
LiverpoolLWWWWNewcastle UnitedLWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 2–2 Liverpool2026-08-23
- Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle United2026-01-31
- Newcastle United 2–3 Liverpool2025-08-25
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
