FTMatchday 24

Liverpool vs Newcastle United: Prediction

📍 Anfield

Liverpool4

Newcastle United1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

LiverpoolNewcastle United

11'Anthony Gordonyellow card
36'Anthony Gordon
Hugo Ekitikéassist Florian Wirtz41'
Hugo Ekitikéassist Milos Kerkez43'
45'Jacob Ramseyyellow card
Alexis Mac Allisteryellow card59'
Florian Wirtzassist Mohamed Salah67'
73'Harvey Barneson
73'Joe Willockon
73'Anthony Elangaon
Mohamed Salahon84'
Hugo Ekitikéon84'
84'Kieran Trippieron
86'Dan Burnyellow card
Florian Wirtzon87'
89'Lewis Hallon
Ibrahima Konate90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LiverpoolNewcastle United

54%Possession46%
1.95Expected goals (xG)0.33
17Shots8
7Shots on target2
7Corners11
11Fouls7
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Offsides3
1Saves3
413Passes326

Line-ups

Liverpool

11Mohamed Salah
4Virgil van Dijk
1Alisson Becker
5Ibrahima Konate
18Cody Gakpo
10Alexis Mac Allister
38Ryan Gravenberch
8Dominik Szoboszlai
7Florian Wirtz
22Hugo Ekitiké
6Milos Kerkez

Newcastle United

2Kieran Trippier
33Dan Burn
1Nick Pope
11Harvey Barnes
8Sandro Tonali
10Anthony Gordon
28Joe Willock
41Jacob Ramsey
12Malick Thiaw
20Anthony Elanga
3Lewis Hall

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1529

Recent form

LiverpoolDDDDL

Newcastle UnitedWWWDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	38	+10	60
2	Newcastle United	38	-2	49

Head to head

Newcastle United 2–2 Liverpool2026-08-23
Newcastle United 2–3 Liverpool2025-08-25

Match preview

Liverpool host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 31 January 2026. Liverpool sit 5th on 60 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. Liverpool have won 0 of their last 5 (DDDDL), while Newcastle United have won 3 of 5 (WWWDL). In their last 2 meetings, Liverpool won 1, Newcastle United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.