Kick-off · Sun, 22 Nov, 10:00 pm ISTMatchday 11
Liverpool vs Manchester United: Prediction
Liverpool50%Home win
Manchester United50% Home win24% Draw26% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.68 – 1.17
Team rating (Elo)1553 – 1532
Recent form
LiverpoolDWLWWManchester UnitedLDDDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Manchester United 3–2 Liverpool2026-05-03
- Liverpool 1–2 Manchester United2025-10-19
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
