Kick-off · Sat, 12 Dec, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 15
Liverpool vs Leeds United: Prediction
Liverpool52%Home win
Leeds United52% Home win24% Draw24% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.75 – 1.12
Team rating (Elo)1540 – 1513
Recent form
LiverpoolLWWWWLeeds UnitedWDLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Liverpool 0–0 Leeds United2026-01-01
- Leeds United 3–3 Liverpool2025-12-06
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
