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FTMatchday 19

Liverpool vs Leeds United: Prediction

📍 Anfield

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
LiverpoolLeeds United
  1. 61'Ethan Ampaduyellow card
  2. 62'Jaka Bijolyellow card
  3. Andrew Robertsonon66'
  4. Curtis Joneson66'
  5. Florian Wirtzon66'
  6. 70'Brenden Aaronsonon
  7. 70'Lukas Nmechaon
  8. Conor Bradleyon79'
  9. 83'Sebastiaan Bornauwon
  10. Jeremie Frimpongon84'
  11. 90'Ilia Gruevon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LiverpoolLeeds United
  • 69%Possession31%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 19Shots4
  • 4Shots on target2
  • 8Corners3
  • 10Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Offsides1
  • 2Saves4
  • 633Passes290

Line-ups

Liverpool

  • 26Andrew Robertson
  • 4Virgil van Dijk
  • 1Alisson Becker
  • 5Ibrahima Konate
  • 17Curtis Jones
  • 38Ryan Gravenberch
  • 8Dominik Szoboszlai
  • 7Florian Wirtz
  • 30Jeremie Frimpong
  • 22Hugo Ekitiké
  • 12Conor Bradley

Leeds United

  • 15Jaka Bijol
  • 24James Justin
  • 23Sebastiaan Bornauw
  • 4Ethan Ampadu
  • 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • 5Pascal Struijk
  • 11Brenden Aaronson
  • 18Anton Stach
  • 14Lukas Nmecha
  • 44Ilia Gruev
  • 1Lucas Estella Perri

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1502

Recent form

LiverpoolDDWWW
Leeds UnitedWDDWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Liverpool38+1060
2Leeds United38-747

Head to head

  • Leeds United 3–3 Liverpool2025-12-06

Match preview

Liverpool host Leeds United in the Premier League on 1 January 2026. Liverpool sit 5th on 60 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Liverpool have won 3 of their last 5 (DDWWW), while Leeds United have won 2 of 5 (WDDWD). In their last 1 meetings, Liverpool won 0, Leeds United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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