Kick-off · Sat, 30 Jan, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 23
Liverpool vs Everton: Prediction
Liverpool57%Home win
Everton57% Home win22% Draw21% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.89 – 1.04
Team rating (Elo)1556 – 1480
Recent form
LiverpoolDWLWWEvertonDWDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
Head to head
- Everton 1–2 Liverpool2026-04-19
- Liverpool 2–1 Everton2025-09-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
