Kick-off · Sat, 16 Jan, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 21
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace: Prediction
Liverpool62%Home win
Crystal Palace62% Home win21% Draw17% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.04 – 0.96
Team rating (Elo)1553 – 1434
Recent form
LiverpoolDWLWWCrystal PalaceLDWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace2026-04-25
- Crystal Palace 2–1 Liverpool2025-09-27
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
