Kick-off · Sat, 1 May, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 34
Liverpool vs Chelsea: Prediction
Liverpool54%Home win
Chelsea54% Home win23% Draw23% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.79 – 1.10
Team rating (Elo)1553 – 1504
Recent form
LiverpoolDWLWWChelseaDLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
Head to head
- Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea2026-05-09
- Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool2025-10-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
