FTMatchday 36

Liverpool vs Chelsea: Prediction

📍 Anfield

Liverpool1

Chelsea1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

LiverpoolChelsea

Ryan Gravenberchassist Rio Ngumoha6'
35'Enzo Fernández
63'Andrey Santoson
67'Jorrel Hatoyellow card
Rio Ngumohaon67'
73'Enzo Fernándezyellow card
Cody Gakpoon77'
Ibrahima Konateon77'
83'Marc Cucurellayellow card
Joe Gomezyellow card88'
89'Moisés Caicedoyellow card
Alexis Mac Allisteryellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LiverpoolChelsea

48%Possession52%
0.56Expected goals (xG)0.50
8Shots6
3Shots on target3
5Corners2
17Fouls17
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Offsides2
2Saves2
473Passes515

Line-ups

Liverpool

4Virgil van Dijk
5Ibrahima Konate
18Cody Gakpo
17Curtis Jones
10Alexis Mac Allister
38Ryan Gravenberch
8Dominik Szoboszlai
30Jeremie Frimpong
25Giorgi Mamardashvili
6Milos Kerkez
73Rio Ngumoha

Chelsea

20João Pedro
3Marc Cucurella
29Wesley Fofana
27Malo Gusto
25Moisés Caicedo
10Cole Palmer
6Levi Colwill
17Andrey Santos
8Enzo Fernández
12Filip Jörgensen
21Jorrel Hato

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1524

Recent form

LiverpoolLWWWL

ChelseaLLLLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	38	+10	60
2	Chelsea	38	+6	52

Head to head

Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool2025-10-04

Match preview

Liverpool host Chelsea in the Premier League on 9 May 2026. Liverpool sit 5th on 60 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Liverpool have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWL), while Chelsea have won 0 of 5 (LLLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Liverpool won 0, Chelsea won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.