FTMatchday 22

Liverpool vs Burnley: Prediction

📍 Anfield

Liverpool1

Burnley1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

LiverpoolBurnley

Dominik Szoboszlaipenalty32'
Milos Kerkezyellow card40'
Florian Wirtzassist Curtis Jones42'
65'Marcus Edwardsassist Florentino Luís
74'Maxime Esteveon
74'Armando Brojaon
Cody Gakpoon78'
Ryan Gravenberchon78'
Milos Kerkezon78'
85'Chimuanya Ugochukwuon
Curtis Joneson87'
90'Florentino Luíson
90'Marcus Edwardson
90'Ashley Barnesyellow card
90'Bashir Humphreysyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LiverpoolBurnley

73%Possession27%
2.95Expected goals (xG)0.40
32Shots7
11Shots on target1
9Corners1
8Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Offsides2
1Saves8
723Passes270

Line-ups

Liverpool

4Virgil van Dijk
1Alisson Becker
5Ibrahima Konate
18Cody Gakpo
17Curtis Jones
38Ryan Gravenberch
8Dominik Szoboszlai
7Florian Wirtz
30Jeremie Frimpong
22Hugo Ekitiké
6Milos Kerkez

Burnley

2Kyle Walker
1Martin Dubravka
6Axel Tuanzebe
16Florentino Luís
27Armando Broja
11Jaidon Anthony
8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
10Marcus Edwards
5Maxime Esteve
12Bashir Humphreys
23Lucas Pires

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1497

Recent form

LiverpoolWWDDD

BurnleyDDLLD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	38	+10	60
2	Burnley	38	-37	22

Head to head

Burnley 0–1 Liverpool2025-09-14

Match preview

Liverpool host Burnley in the Premier League on 17 January 2026. Liverpool sit 5th on 60 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Liverpool have won 2 of their last 5 (WWDDD), while Burnley have won 0 of 5 (DDLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Liverpool won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.