Kick-off · Sat, 15 May, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 36
Liverpool vs Brentford: Prediction
Liverpool51%Home win
Brentford51% Home win24% Draw25% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.73 – 1.13
Team rating (Elo)1556 – 1521
Recent form
LiverpoolDWLWWBrentfordDWDLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Brentford | 8 | +5 | 11 |
Head to head
- Brentford 1–2 Liverpool2026-10-17
- Liverpool 1–1 Brentford2026-05-24
- Brentford 3–2 Liverpool2025-10-25
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
