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FTMatchday 1

Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
LiverpoolAtlético Madrid
  1. 17'Marcos Llorenteassist Julián Álvarez
  2. Alexis Mac Allisteryellow card28'
  3. Dominik Szoboszlaiassist Ronald Araújo40'
  4. Alexis Mac Allisterassist Alexander Isak50'
  5. 51'Marc Pubillyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1517

Recent form

LiverpoolLDDDW
Atlético MadridWLDWL
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

  • Liverpool 3–2 Atlético Madrid2025-09-17

Match preview

Liverpool host Atlético Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on 9 September 2026. Liverpool sit 8th on 9 points and Atlético Madrid are 38th on 4. Liverpool have won 1 of their last 5 (LDDDW), while Atlético Madrid have won 2 of 5 (WLDWL). In their last 1 meetings, Liverpool won 1, Atlético Madrid won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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