FTMatchday 10

Liverpool vs Aston Villa: Prediction

📍 Anfield

Liverpool2

Aston Villa0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

LiverpoolAston Villa

Mohamed Salah45'
Virgil van Dijkyellow card54'
57'Matty Cashyellow card
Ryan Gravenberchassist Alexis Mac Allister58'
59'John McGinnon
59'Evann Guessandon
73'Amadou Onanayellow card
74'Pau Torreson
74'Ollie Watkinson
75'Lucas Digneon
Hugo Ekitikéon77'
80'Morgan Rogersyellow card
Dominik Szoboszlaiyellow card87'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LiverpoolAston Villa

53%Possession47%
1Expected goals (xG)0
16Shots10
4Shots on target3
1Corners4
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
8Offsides0
3Saves2
467Passes398

Line-ups

Liverpool

11Mohamed Salah
26Andrew Robertson
4Virgil van Dijk
5Ibrahima Konate
18Cody Gakpo
10Alexis Mac Allister
38Ryan Gravenberch
8Dominik Szoboszlai
25Giorgi Mamardashvili
22Hugo Ekitiké
12Conor Bradley

Aston Villa

23Emiliano Martinez
12Lucas Digne
11Ollie Watkins
7John McGinn
2Matty Cash
4Ezri Konsa
14Pau Torres
44Boubacar Kamara
24Amadou Onana
27Morgan Rogers
29Evann Guessand

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1526

Recent form

LiverpoolLLWLL

Aston VillaDWWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Aston Villa	38	+7	65
2	Liverpool	38	+10	60

Head to head

Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool2026-05-15

Match preview

Liverpool host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 1 November 2025. Liverpool sit 5th on 60 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Liverpool have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWLL), while Aston Villa have won 4 of 5 (DWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Liverpool won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.