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FTMatchday 3

Liverpool vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 Anfield

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
LiverpoolArsenal
  1. 5'William Salibaon
  2. Ryan Gravenberchyellow card29'
  3. Alexis Mac Allisteron61'
  4. 66'Viktor Gyökeresyellow card
  5. 70'Gabriel Martinellion
  6. 70'Mikel Merinoon
  7. Ibrahima Konateon79'
  8. Hugo Ekitikéon79'
  9. 81'Martín Zubimendiyellow card
  10. Dominik Szoboszlai83'
  11. Florian Wirtzon89'
  12. 89'Noni Maduekeon
  13. Wataru Endoyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LiverpoolArsenal
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 0.52Expected goals (xG)0.49
  • 9Shots11
  • 3Shots on target1
  • 3Corners8
  • 7Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 1Saves2
  • 435Passes371

Line-ups

Liverpool

  • 11Mohamed Salah
  • 4Virgil van Dijk
  • 1Alisson Becker
  • 5Ibrahima Konate
  • 18Cody Gakpo
  • 10Alexis Mac Allister
  • 38Ryan Gravenberch
  • 8Dominik Szoboszlai
  • 7Florian Wirtz
  • 22Hugo Ekitiké
  • 6Milos Kerkez

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 23Mikel Merino
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli
  • 20Noni Madueke
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães
  • 2William Saliba
  • 12Jurrien Timber
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 14Viktor Gyökeres
  • 33Riccardo Calafiori

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1532

Recent form

LiverpoolWW
ArsenalWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Liverpool38+1060

Head to head

  • Liverpool 0–1 Arsenal2026-11-01
  • Arsenal 0–0 Liverpool2026-01-08

Match preview

Liverpool host Arsenal in the Premier League on 31 August 2025. Liverpool sit 5th on 60 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Liverpool have won 2 of their last 2 (WW), while Arsenal have won 2 of 2 (WW). In their last 2 meetings, Liverpool won 0, Arsenal won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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