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FTMatchday 4

Lille vs Troyes: Prediction

Lille2
FT
Troyes0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
LilleTroyes
  1. Tiago Santosassist Dilane Bakwa18'
  2. 45'Lucas Maronnieron
  3. Hákon Arnar Haraldssonon61'
  4. Dilane Bakwaon71'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1459 – 1452

Recent form

LilleWWDWL
TroyesDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Lille9+618
2Troyes9-98

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Lille host Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 13 September 2026. Lille sit 2nd on 18 points and Troyes are 15th on 8. Lille have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDWL), while Troyes have won 1 of 3 (DWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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