Lille vs Toulouse: Prediction
📍 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 23'Aron Dønnumyellow card
- ⇄Alexsandroon45'
- 50'⚽Frank Magri
- 55'⇄Santiago Hidalgo Massaon
- 56'Guillaume Restesyellow card
- ⇄Ngal'ayel Mukauon61'
- 72'⇄Rafik Messalion
- 72'⇄Abu Francison
- 80'Alexis Vossahred card
- ⇄Ayyoub Bouaddion81'
- ⇄Félix Andrade Sanches Correiaon81'
- ⇄Matias Fernandez-Pardoon81'
- Olivier Giroudyellow card83'
- 88'Frank Magriyellow card
- 89'⇄Dayann Methalieon
- 89'⇄Frank Magrion
- ⚽Ethan Mbappéassist Osame Sahraoui90'
- Chancel Mbemba Manguluyellow card90'
- ⚽Nabil Bentalebpenalty90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 70%Possession30%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 21Shots9
- 5Shots on target4
- 7Corners6
- 12Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards1
- 1Offsides2
- 3Saves3
- 553Passes230
Line-ups
Lille
- 9Olivier Giroud
- 2Aïssa Mandi
- 21Benjamin André
- 15Romain Perraud
- 1Berke Özer
- 4Alexsandro
- 3Nathan Ngoy
- 17Ngal'ayel Mukau
- 32Ayyoub Bouaddi
- 27Félix Andrade Sanches Correia
- 7Matias Fernandez-Pardo
Toulouse
- 10Yann Gboho
- 17Abu Francis
- 2Rasmus Nicolaisen
- 23Cristian Cásseres Jr.
- 3Mark McKenzie
- 4Charlie Cresswell
- 15Aron Dønnum
- 1Guillaume Restes
- 9Frank Magri
- 11Santiago Hidalgo Massa
- 24Dayann Methalie
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
LilleDWW
ToulouseWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille | 9 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 | Toulouse | 9 | +2 | 13 |
Head to head
- Toulouse 0–1 Lille2026-09-03
Match preview
Lille host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 14 September 2025. Lille sit 5th on 17 points and Toulouse are 9th on 13. Lille have won 2 of their last 3 (DWW), while Toulouse have won 2 of 3 (WWL). In their last 1 meetings, Lille won 1, Toulouse won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
