Lille vs Paris Saint-Germain: Prediction
📍 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⚽Hákon Arnar Haraldssonassist Olivier Giroud21'
- 39'Fabián Ruizyellow card
- 46'⇄Désiré Douéon
- Benjamin Andréyellow card52'
- ⇄Benjamin Andréon61'
- ⇄Félix Andrade Sanches Correiaon61'
- 63'⇄Lucas Beraldoon
- ⇄Ethan Mbappéon68'
- 72'⇄Fabián Ruizon
- 72'⇄Ferran Torreson
- 78'⇄Maghnes Aklioucheon
- ⇄Hákon Arnar Haraldssonon80'
- ⚽Dilane Bakwaassist Olivier Giroud84'
- Romain Perraudyellow card90'
- 90'⚽Vitinhaassist Mika Godts
- 90'⚽Marquinhosassist Vitinha
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 27%Possession73%
- 1.09Expected goals (xG)1.29
- 9Shots18
- 4Shots on target4
- 0Corners5
- 11Fouls7
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 5Offsides0
- 2Saves2
- 297Passes810
Line-ups
Lille
- 9Olivier Giroud
- 6Nabil Bentaleb
- 21Benjamin André
- 15Romain Perraud
- 1Berke Özer
- 4Alexsandro
- 10Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
- 22Tiago Santos
- 3Nathan Ngoy
- 27Félix Andrade Sanches Correia
- 8Ethan Mbappé
Paris Saint-Germain
- 5Marquinhos
- 2Achraf Hakimi
- 9Ferran Torres
- 8Fabián Ruiz
- 17Vitinha
- 39Matvey Safonov
- 11Maghnes Akliouche
- 51Willian Pacho
- 14Désiré Doué
- 33Warren Zaïre-Emery
- 4Lucas Beraldo
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
LilleLDWWW
Paris Saint-GermainWWLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | +6 | 18 |
Head to head
- Lille 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain2025-10-05
Match preview
Lille host Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1 on 28 August 2026. Lille sit 2nd on 18 points and Paris Saint-Germain are 1st on 20. Lille have won 3 of their last 5 (LDWWW), while Paris Saint-Germain have won 3 of 5 (WWLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Lille won 0, Paris Saint-Germain won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
