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FTMatchday 2

Lille vs Monaco: Prediction

📍 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
LilleMonaco
  1. Ngal'ayel Mukauon60'
  2. 74'Jordan Tezeon
  3. 74'Aleksandr Golovinon
  4. 74'Takumi Minaminoon
  5. Félix Andrade Sanches Correiaon81'
  6. 85'Caio Henriqueon
  7. Nabil Bentalebyellow card86'
  8. 87'Lamine Camarayellow card
  9. 90'Christian Mawissayellow card
  10. Olivier Giroudassist Matias Fernandez-Pardo90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LilleMonaco
  • 50%Possession50%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)1
  • 18Shots6
  • 1Shots on target1
  • 8Corners3
  • 7Fouls14
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 2Saves0
  • 417Passes425

Line-ups

Lille

  • 9Olivier Giroud
  • 12Thomas Meunier
  • 21Benjamin André
  • 15Romain Perraud
  • 1Berke Özer
  • 4Alexsandro
  • 10Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
  • 3Nathan Ngoy
  • 17Ngal'ayel Mukau
  • 32Ayyoub Bouaddi
  • 27Félix Andrade Sanches Correia

Monaco

  • 3Eric Dier
  • 1Lukas Hradecky
  • 10Aleksandr Golovin
  • 18Takumi Minamino
  • 6Denis Zakaria
  • 12Caio Henrique
  • 9Folarin Balogun
  • 4Jordan Teze
  • 11Maghnes Akliouche
  • 13Christian Mawissa
  • 15Lamine Camara

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1462 – 1498

Recent form

LilleD
MonacoW
#TeamPGDPts
1Lille9+1117
2Monaco9+517

Head to head

  • Monaco 1–1 Lille2026-10-25

Match preview

Lille host Monaco in the Ligue 1 on 24 August 2025. Lille sit 5th on 17 points and Monaco are 6th on 17. Lille have won 0 of their last 1 (D), while Monaco have won 1 of 1 (W). In their last 1 meetings, Lille won 0, Monaco won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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