Lille vs Lyon: Prediction
📍 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 13'⚽Tyler Mortonassist Nicolás Tagliafico
- Ayyoub Bouaddiyellow card43'
- 46'Nicolás Tagliaficoyellow card
- Aïssa Mandiyellow card69'
- 72'Malick Fofanayellow card
- ⇄Ngal'ayel Mukauon74'
- ⇄Félix Andrade Sanches Correiaon74'
- 75'⇄Khalis Merahon
- 75'⇄Adam Karabecon
- 76'Afonso Bastardo Moreirayellow card
- ⇄Ayyoub Bouaddion79'
- 83'Pavel Šulcyellow card
- Matias Fernandez-Pardoyellow card86'
- Hamza Igamaneyellow card87'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 54%Possession46%
- 1.47Expected goals (xG)0.52
- 14Shots5
- 3Shots on target2
- 3Corners4
- 20Fouls24
- 4Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides1
- 1Saves3
- 429Passes369
Line-ups
Lille
- 9Olivier Giroud
- 23Aïssa Mandi
- 16Arnaud Bodart
- 24Calvin Verdonk
- 10Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
- 22Tiago Santos
- 3Nathan Ngoy
- 17Ngal'ayel Mukau
- 32Ayyoub Bouaddi
- 27Félix Andrade Sanches Correia
- 7Matias Fernandez-Pardo
Lyon
- 98Ainsley Maitland-Niles
- 8Corentin Tolisso
- 22Clinton Mata
- 3Nicolás Tagliafico
- 19Moussa Niakhaté
- 6Tanner Tessmann
- 1Dominik Greif
- 23Tyler Morton
- 7Adam Karabec
- 11Malick Fofana
- 44Khalis Merah
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
LilleDWWWL
LyonWWWLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 9 | +4 | 18 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | +11 | 17 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Match preview
Lille host Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 28 September 2025. Lille sit 5th on 17 points and Lyon are 4th on 18. Lille have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWWL), while Lyon have won 4 of 5 (WWWLW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
