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Kick-off · Matchday 5

Lille vs Bayern Munich: Prediction

Lille
42%Away win
Bayern Munich

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.42 – 1.59
Team rating (Elo)1459 – 1545

Recent form

LilleLDLDW
Bayern MunichDWDWD
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Lille host Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League on 25 November 2026. Lille sit 79th on 0 points and Bayern Munich are 33rd on 5. Lille have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLDW), while Bayern Munich have won 2 of 5 (DWDWD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Lille 34%, the draw 24% and Bayern Munich 42%, so Bayern Munich are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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