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FTMatchday 8

Lens vs Paris FC: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
LensParis FC
  1. 8'Ilan Kebbalyellow card
  2. Odsonne Édouardassist Adrien Thomasson17'
  3. 27'Pierre Lees Melouassist Ilan Kebbal
  4. Florian Thauvinyellow card45'
  5. 46'Thibault De Smeton

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1479 – 1515

Recent form

LensWLWDW
Paris FCWWLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Lens9+619
2Paris FC9-310

Head to head

  • Lens 2–1 Paris FC2026-10-24

Match preview

Lens host Paris FC in the Ligue 1 on 19 October 2025. Lens sit 2nd on 19 points and Paris FC are 11th on 10. Lens have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWDW), while Paris FC have won 3 of 5 (WWLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Lens won 1, Paris FC won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming