Lens vs Marseille: Prediction
Lens
MarseilleTipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
LensLWLWLMarseilleLLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 9 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 | Marseille | 8 | +5 | 12 |
Head to head
- Lens 2–1 Marseille2025-10-25
Match preview
Lens host Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 8 November 2026. Lens sit 8th on 13 points and Marseille are 9th on 12. Lens have won 2 of their last 5 (LWLWL), while Marseille have won 3 of 5 (LLWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Lens won 1, Marseille won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Lens 45%, the draw 25% and Marseille 30%, so Lens are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
