Lens vs Marseille: Prediction
📍 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 17'⚽Mason Greenwoodassist Timothy Weah
- 22'Benjamin Pavardyellow card
- ⚽Odsonne Édouardpenalty23'
- Adrien Thomassonyellow card34'
- 52'⇄Timothy Weahon
- 52'⇄Robinio Vazon
- ⚽Benjamin Pavardown goal53'
- 61'⇄Benjamin Pavardon
- ⇄Wesley Saidon69'
- 74'⇄Michael Murilloon
- 74'⇄Matt O'Rileyon
- ⇄Odsonne Édouardon81'
- ⇄Florian Thauvinon81'
- Morgan Guilavoguiyellow card84'
- ⇄Ruben Aguilaron85'
- 87'Leonardo Balerdiyellow card
- Mamadou Sangaréyellow card88'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 32%Possession68%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 8Shots17
- 5Shots on target3
- 4Corners8
- 12Fouls9
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides1
- 2Saves4
- 338Passes754
Line-ups
Lens
- 10Florian Thauvin
- 22Wesley Said
- 11Odsonne Édouard
- 2Ruben Aguilar
- 20Malang Sarr
- 28Adrien Thomasson
- 24Jonathan Gradit
- 8Mamadou Sangaré
- 6Samson Baidoo
- 40Robin Risser Birckel
Marseille
- 1Geronimo Rulli
- 33Emerson Palmieri
- 28Benjamin Pavard
- 22Timothy Weah
- 21Nayef Aguerd
- 10Mason Greenwood
- 62Michael Murillo
- 17Matt O'Riley
- 14Igor Paixão
- 18Arthur Vermeeren
- 34Robinio Vaz
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
LensLWDWW
MarseilleWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 9 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 | Marseille | 9 | +13 | 18 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Match preview
Lens host Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 25 October 2025. Lens sit 2nd on 19 points and Marseille are 3rd on 18. Lens have won 3 of their last 5 (LWDWW), while Marseille have won 4 of 5 (WWWWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
