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FTMatchday 6

Lens vs Lyon: Prediction

Lens
2–1
Lyon

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1479 – 1507

Recent form

LensLLWDL
LyonWDWDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Lyon8+614
2Lens9+313

Head to head

  • Lens 0–1 Lyon2025-08-16

Match preview

Lens host Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 9 October 2026. Lens sit 8th on 13 points and Lyon are 5th on 14. Lens have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWDL), while Lyon have won 3 of 5 (WDWDW). In their last 1 meetings, Lens won 0, Lyon won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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