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FTMatchday 5

Lens vs Lille: Prediction

📍 Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
LensLille
  1. 18'Romain Perraudon
  2. Wesley Said28'
  3. 36'Calvin Verdonkyellow card
  4. Florian Thauvinassist Wesley Said43'
  5. 45'Aïssa Mandiyellow card
  6. 46'Félix Andrade Sanches Correiaon
  7. Rayan Fofana52'
  8. 59'Hákon Arnar Haraldssonon
  9. Ruben Aguilaron69'
  10. Rayan Fofanaon69'
  11. Wesley Saidon74'
  12. 77'Nabil Bentalebon
  13. 78'Olivier Giroudon
  14. Matthieu Udolyellow card83'
  15. Florian Thauvinon86'
  16. Mamadou Sangaréon86'
  17. 90'Chancel Mbemba Manguluyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LensLille
  • 38%Possession62%
  • 4Expected goals (xG)2
  • 15Shots17
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 4Corners10
  • 17Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides1
  • 3Saves3
  • 326Passes539

Line-ups

Lens

  • 10Florian Thauvin
  • 22Wesley Said
  • 2Ruben Aguilar
  • 20Malang Sarr
  • 28Adrien Thomasson
  • 24Jonathan Gradit
  • 8Mamadou Sangaré
  • 6Samson Baidoo
  • 38Rayan Fofana
  • 40Robin Risser Birckel

Lille

  • 9Olivier Giroud
  • 6Nabil Bentaleb
  • 23Aïssa Mandi
  • 18Chancel Mbemba Mangulu
  • 15Romain Perraud
  • 1Berke Özer
  • 10Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
  • 3Nathan Ngoy
  • 32Ayyoub Bouaddi
  • 27Félix Andrade Sanches Correia
  • 7Matias Fernandez-Pardo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1454 – 1462

Recent form

LensLWWL
LilleDWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Lens9+619
2Lille9+1117

Head to head

  • Lille 1–0 Lens2026-10-30

Match preview

Lens host Lille in the Ligue 1 on 20 September 2025. Lens sit 2nd on 19 points and Lille are 5th on 17. Lens have won 2 of their last 4 (LWWL), while Lille have won 3 of 4 (DWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Lens won 0, Lille won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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