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FTMatchday 3

Lens vs Brest: Prediction

📍 Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
LensBrest
  1. 24'Mama Baldéassist Kamory Doumbia
  2. 45'Ludovic Ajorqueyellow card
  3. Deiver Machadoon46'
  4. 48'Hugo Magnettiyellow card
  5. 55'Radosław Majeckired card
  6. 57'Kenny Lalayellow card
  7. 59'Romain Del Castilloon
  8. Florian Thauvinpenalty60'
  9. Ruben Aguilaryellow card69'
  10. 75'Kamory Doumbiaon
  11. Rayan Fofanaon75'
  12. 75'Mama Baldéon
  13. Ruben Aguilaron76'
  14. Florian Thauvinon76'
  15. Morgan Guilavogui78'
  16. 86'Joris Chotardon
  17. 86'Bradley Lockoon
  18. Wesley Saidon90'
  19. Adrien Thomassonassist Saud Abdulhamid90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LensBrest
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 4Expected goals (xG)1
  • 30Shots9
  • 10Shots on target2
  • 15Corners1
  • 7Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • 2Offsides0
  • 1Saves7
  • 578Passes284

Line-ups

Lens

  • 10Florian Thauvin
  • 22Wesley Said
  • 2Ruben Aguilar
  • 20Malang Sarr
  • 28Adrien Thomasson
  • 24Jonathan Gradit
  • 3Deiver Machado
  • 8Mamadou Sangaré
  • 38Rayan Fofana
  • 40Robin Risser Birckel

Brest

  • 77Kenny Lala
  • 10Romain Del Castillo
  • 1Radosław Majecki
  • 17Mama Baldé
  • 19Ludovic Ajorque
  • 13Joris Chotard
  • 8Hugo Magnetti
  • 2Bradley Locko
  • 23Kamory Doumbia
  • 26Julien Cardinal
  • 4Michel Diaz

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1454 – 1502

Recent form

LensLW
BrestDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Lens9+619
2Brest9-39

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Lens host Brest in the Ligue 1 on 29 August 2025. Lens sit 2nd on 19 points and Brest are 12th on 9. Lens have won 1 of their last 2 (LW), while Brest have won 0 of 2 (DL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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