Lens vs Brest: Prediction
📍 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 24'⚽Mama Baldéassist Kamory Doumbia
- 45'Ludovic Ajorqueyellow card
- ⇄Deiver Machadoon46'
- 48'Hugo Magnettiyellow card
- 55'Radosław Majeckired card
- 57'Kenny Lalayellow card
- 59'⇄Romain Del Castilloon
- ⚽Florian Thauvinpenalty60'
- Ruben Aguilaryellow card69'
- 75'⇄Kamory Doumbiaon
- ⇄Rayan Fofanaon75'
- 75'⇄Mama Baldéon
- ⇄Ruben Aguilaron76'
- ⇄Florian Thauvinon76'
- ⚽Morgan Guilavogui78'
- 86'⇄Joris Chotardon
- 86'⇄Bradley Lockoon
- ⇄Wesley Saidon90'
- ⚽Adrien Thomassonassist Saud Abdulhamid90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 67%Possession33%
- 4Expected goals (xG)1
- 30Shots9
- 10Shots on target2
- 15Corners1
- 7Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards1
- 2Offsides0
- 1Saves7
- 578Passes284
Line-ups
Lens
- 10Florian Thauvin
- 22Wesley Said
- 2Ruben Aguilar
- 20Malang Sarr
- 28Adrien Thomasson
- 24Jonathan Gradit
- 3Deiver Machado
- 8Mamadou Sangaré
- 38Rayan Fofana
- 40Robin Risser Birckel
Brest
- 77Kenny Lala
- 10Romain Del Castillo
- 1Radosław Majecki
- 17Mama Baldé
- 19Ludovic Ajorque
- 13Joris Chotard
- 8Hugo Magnetti
- 2Bradley Locko
- 23Kamory Doumbia
- 26Julien Cardinal
- 4Michel Diaz
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +6 | 19 | |
| 2 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Match preview
Lens host Brest in the Ligue 1 on 29 August 2025. Lens sit 2nd on 19 points and Brest are 12th on 9. Lens have won 1 of their last 2 (LW), while Brest have won 0 of 2 (DL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

