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Kick-off · Matchday 6

Lens vs Bodø/Glimt: Prediction

48%Home win

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.74 – 1.29
Team rating (Elo)1479 – 1474

Recent form

LensLWLWL
Bodø/GlimtDWLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bodø/Glimt5-47

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Lens host Bodø/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League on 9 December 2026. Lens sit 58th on 3 points and Bodø/Glimt are 20th on 7. Lens have won 2 of their last 5 (LWLWL), while Bodø/Glimt have won 2 of 5 (DWLWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Lens 48%, the draw 24% and Bodø/Glimt 28%, so Lens are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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