Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 1

Lens vs Auxerre: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1479 – 1456

Recent form

LensWDWWW
AuxerreWLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Lens9+313
2Auxerre8-610

Head to head

  • Auxerre 1–2 Lens2025-10-04

Match preview

Lens host Auxerre in the Ligue 1 on 22 August 2026. Lens sit 8th on 13 points and Auxerre are 12th on 10. Lens have won 4 of their last 5 (WDWWW), while Auxerre have won 1 of 5 (WLLDL). In their last 1 meetings, Lens won 1, Auxerre won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming