Leeds United vs Sunderland: Prediction
📍 Elland Road
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 45'Luke O'Nienyellow card
- 55'⇄Eliezer Mayendaon
- 56'⇄Lutsharel Geertruidaon
- 58'Habib Diarrayellow card
- ⇄Ilia Gruevon62'
- 63'Omar Aldereteyellow card
- 70'⚽Habib Diarrapenalty
- ⇄James Justinon74'
- ⇄Brenden Aaronsonon74'
- ⇄Gabriel Gudmundssonon84'
- ⇄Jayden Bogleon84'
- 88'⇄Nilson Anguloon
- Degnand Gnontoyellow card90'
- 90'⇄Degnand Gnontoon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 70%Possession30%
- 1.08Expected goals (xG)0.86
- 17Shots3
- 4Shots on target1
- 9Corners2
- 15Fouls19
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides5
- 0Saves4
- 545Passes235
Line-ups
Leeds United
- 26Karl Darlow
- 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 6Joe Rodon
- 24James Justin
- 4Ethan Ampadu
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 18Anton Stach
- 44Ilia Gruev
Sunderland
- 13Luke O'Nien
- 6Lutsharel Geertruida
- 15Omar Alderete
- 28Enzo Le Fée
- 5Daniel Ballard
- 19Habib Diarra
- 32Trai Hume
- 10Nilson Angulo
- 27Noah Sadiki
- 12Eliezer Mayenda
- 31Melker Ellborg
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Leeds UnitedLWDDL
SunderlandWLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sunderland | 38 | -6 | 54 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Sunderland 0–0 Leeds United2026-10-25
- Sunderland 1–1 Leeds United2025-12-28
Match preview
Leeds United host Sunderland in the Premier League on 3 March 2026. Leeds United sit 14th on 47 points and Sunderland are 7th on 54. Leeds United have won 1 of their last 5 (LWDDL), while Sunderland have won 1 of 5 (WLLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Leeds United won 0, Sunderland won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
