Kick-off · Sat, 10 Apr, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 31
Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction
Leeds United54%Home win
Nottingham Forest54% Home win23% Draw23% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.79 – 1.09
Team rating (Elo)1516 – 1465
Recent form
Leeds UnitedWDLDDNottingham ForestWLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 |
Head to head
- Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United2026-08-22
- Leeds United 3–1 Nottingham Forest2026-02-06
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
