Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction
📍 Elland Road
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⚽Jayden Bogleassist Ilia Gruev26'
- ⚽Noah Okaforassist James Justin30'
- ⚽Dominic Calvert-Lewinassist Ilia Gruev49'
- 54'⇄Igor Jesuson
- 54'⇄Nicolás Domínguezon
- Noah Okaforyellow card61'
- 62'Ibrahim Sangaréyellow card
- 67'⇄Callum Hudson-Odoion
- 67'⇄Morgan Gibbs-Whiteon
- 76'⇄Zach Abbotton
- ⇄Brenden Aaronsonon78'
- ⇄Noah Okaforon82'
- 86'⚽Lorenzo Luccaassist Omari Hutchinson
- ⇄Jayden Bogleon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 56%Possession44%
- 2.50Expected goals (xG)1.33
- 14Shots16
- 5Shots on target6
- 5Corners10
- 9Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides4
- 5Saves2
- 477Passes350
Line-ups
Leeds United
- 26Karl Darlow
- 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 6Joe Rodon
- 24James Justin
- 4Ethan Ampadu
- 19Noah Okafor
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 44Ilia Gruev
Nottingham Forest
- 34Ola Aina
- 31Nikola Milenković
- 16Nicolás Domínguez
- 7Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 10Morgan Gibbs-White
- 6Ibrahim Sangaré
- 27Stefan Ortega
- 8Elliott Anderson
- 4Morato
- 19Igor Jesus
- 44Zach Abbott
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Leeds UnitedDLWDL
Nottingham ForestLWDWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds United | 38 | -7 | 47 |
| 2 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | -3 | 44 |
Head to head
- Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United2026-08-22
- Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds United2025-11-09
Match preview
Leeds United host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on 6 February 2026. Leeds United sit 14th on 47 points and Nottingham Forest are 16th on 44. Leeds United have won 1 of their last 5 (DLWDL), while Nottingham Forest have won 2 of 5 (LWDWD). In their last 2 meetings, Leeds United won 1, Nottingham Forest won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
