Leeds United vs Newcastle United: Prediction
📍 Elland Road
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
0 goals- 36'Nick Popeyellow card
- Degnand Gnontoyellow card40'
- 46'⇄Jacob Ramseyon
- ⇄Degnand Gnontoon60'
- ⇄Daniel Jameson60'
- 61'⇄Kieran Trippieron
- 62'⇄Jacob Murphyon
- 69'⇄Sven Botmanon
- ⇄Lukas Nmechaon70'
- ⇄Gabriel Gudmundssonon80'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 43%Possession57%
- 1Expected goals (xG)0
- 10Shots8
- 1Shots on target2
- 5Corners5
- 10Fouls15
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides0
- 2Saves1
- 411Passes537
Line-ups
Leeds United
- 8Sean Longstaff
- 6Joe Rodon
- 7Daniel James
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 18Anton Stach
- 14Lukas Nmecha
- 44Ilia Gruev
- 29Degnand Gnonto
Newcastle United
- 2Kieran Trippier
- 23Jacob Murphy
- 33Dan Burn
- 1Nick Pope
- 5Fabian Schär
- 8Sandro Tonali
- 4Sven Botman
- 39Bruno Guimarães
- 41Jacob Ramsey
- 21Valentino Livramento
- 18William Daugaard Osula
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Leeds UnitedWLD
Newcastle UnitedDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 38 | -2 | 49 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 4–1 Newcastle United2026-09-14
- Newcastle United 4–3 Leeds United2026-01-07
Match preview
Leeds United host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 30 August 2025. Leeds United sit 14th on 47 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. Leeds United have won 1 of their last 3 (WLD), while Newcastle United have won 0 of 2 (DL). In their last 2 meetings, Leeds United won 1, Newcastle United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
