Leeds United vs Manchester United: Prediction
📍 Elland Road
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 34'Patrick Dorguyellow card
- ⚽Brenden Aaronsonassist Pascal Struijk62'
- 63'⇄Leny Yoroon
- 65'⚽Matheus Cunhaassist Joshua Zirkzee
- ⇄Noah Okaforon75'
- ⇄Ilia Gruevon80'
- ⇄Sebastiaan Bornauwon80'
- ⇄Brenden Aaronsonon87'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 45%Possession55%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 11Shots15
- 3Shots on target2
- 6Corners4
- 9Fouls9
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides3
- 1Saves2
- 425Passes529
Line-ups
Leeds United
- 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 15Jaka Bijol
- 24James Justin
- 23Sebastiaan Bornauw
- 19Noah Okafor
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 18Anton Stach
- 44Ilia Gruev
- 1Lucas Estella Perri
Manchester United
- 23Luke Shaw
- 18Casemiro
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 6Lisandro Martínez
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 31Senne Lammens
- 30Benjamin Šeško
- 25Manuel Ugarte
- 15Leny Yoro
- 13Patrick Dorgu
- 26Ayden Heaven
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Leeds UnitedDDWDD
Manchester UnitedWDLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 38 | +19 | 71 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 1–1 Manchester United2026-10-18
- Manchester United 1–2 Leeds United2026-04-13
Match preview
Leeds United host Manchester United in the Premier League on 4 January 2026. Leeds United sit 14th on 47 points and Manchester United are 3rd on 71. Leeds United have won 1 of their last 5 (DDWDD), while Manchester United have won 2 of 5 (WDLWD). In their last 2 meetings, Leeds United won 1, Manchester United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
