Kick-off · Thu, 7 Jan, 01:45 am ISTMatchday 20
Leeds United vs Manchester City: Prediction
Leeds United48%Away win
Manchester City28% Home win24% Draw48% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.19 – 1.65
Team rating (Elo)1513 – 1531
Recent form
Leeds UnitedWDLDDManchester CityWLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 0–1 Manchester City2026-02-28
- Manchester City 3–2 Leeds United2025-11-29
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
