Leeds United vs Manchester City: Prediction
📍 Elland Road
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 45'⚽Antoine Semenyoassist Rayan Aït-Nouri
- ⇄Brenden Aaronsonon65'
- 68'⇄Omar Marmoushon
- 70'⇄Nico O'Reillyon
- ⇄Ilia Gruevon75'
- ⇄Jayden Bogleon76'
- 85'Gianluigi Donnarummayellow card
- ⇄Joe Rodonon87'
- ⇄James Justinon87'
- 88'⇄Rayan Cherkion
- 90'Savinhoyellow card
- 90'Rayan Aït-Nouriyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 33%Possession67%
- 1.47Expected goals (xG)1.77
- 14Shots14
- 2Shots on target5
- 5Corners3
- 10Fouls8
- 0Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides4
- 4Saves2
- 311Passes649
Line-ups
Leeds United
- 26Karl Darlow
- 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 6Joe Rodon
- 24James Justin
- 4Ethan Ampadu
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 18Anton Stach
- 44Ilia Gruev
Manchester City
- 20Bernardo Silva
- 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
- 3Ruben Dias
- 16Rodri
- 42Antoine Semenyo
- 21Rayan Aït-Nouri
- 10Rayan Cherki
- 15Marc Guéhi
- 7Omar Marmoush
- 27Matheus Nunes
- 33Nico O'Reilly
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Leeds UnitedDLWDD
Manchester CityWDWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | +42 | 78 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Manchester City 3–2 Leeds United2025-11-29
Match preview
Leeds United host Manchester City in the Premier League on 28 February 2026. Leeds United sit 14th on 47 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Leeds United have won 1 of their last 5 (DLWDD), while Manchester City have won 4 of 5 (WDWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Leeds United won 0, Manchester City won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
