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FTMatchday 15

Leeds United vs Liverpool: Prediction

📍 Elland Road

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals
Leeds UnitedLiverpool
  1. Jayden Bogleyellow card20'
  2. Gabriel Gudmundssonyellow card26'
  3. 45'Conor Bradleyyellow card
  4. 48'Hugo Ekitiké
  5. 50'Hugo Ekitiké
  6. Ilia Gruevon65'
  7. Jaka Bijolon65'
  8. Noah Okaforon65'
  9. 68'Conor Bradleyon
  10. 68'Florian Wirtzon
  11. Dominic Calvert-Lewinassist Dominic Calvert-Lewin73'
  12. Anton Stachassist Brenden Aaronson75'
  13. 80'Dominik Szoboszlaiassist Ryan Gravenberch
  14. 81'Virgil van Dijkyellow card
  15. 83'Cody Gakpoon
  16. 84'Hugo Ekitikéon
  17. Ethan Ampaduon87'
  18. Pascal Struijkyellow card89'
  19. 90'Joe Gomezyellow card
  20. Jayden Bogleon90'
  21. Ao Tanaka90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Leeds UnitedLiverpool
  • 45%Possession55%
  • 1.51Expected goals (xG)1.91
  • 12Shots16
  • 5Shots on target7
  • 5Corners4
  • 14Fouls14
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 4Saves2
  • 402Passes503

Line-ups

Leeds United

  • 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 6Joe Rodon
  • 15Jaka Bijol
  • 4Ethan Ampadu
  • 19Noah Okafor
  • 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • 5Pascal Struijk
  • 2Jayden Bogle
  • 18Anton Stach
  • 44Ilia Gruev

Liverpool

  • 4Virgil van Dijk
  • 1Alisson Becker
  • 5Ibrahima Konate
  • 18Cody Gakpo
  • 17Curtis Jones
  • 38Ryan Gravenberch
  • 8Dominik Szoboszlai
  • 7Florian Wirtz
  • 22Hugo Ekitiké
  • 12Conor Bradley
  • 6Milos Kerkez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1488

Recent form

Leeds UnitedLLLLW
LiverpoolLLLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Liverpool38+1060
2Leeds United38-747

Head to head

  • Liverpool 0–0 Leeds United2026-01-01

Match preview

Leeds United host Liverpool in the Premier League on 6 December 2025. Leeds United sit 14th on 47 points and Liverpool are 5th on 60. Leeds United have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLLW), while Liverpool have won 1 of 5 (LLLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Leeds United won 0, Liverpool won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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