Kick-off · Sat, 19 Dec, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 16
Leeds United vs Fulham: Prediction
Leeds United51%Home win
Fulham51% Home win24% Draw25% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.73 – 1.14
Team rating (Elo)1516 – 1483
Recent form
Leeds UnitedWDLDDFulhamDDLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 1–0 Fulham2026-01-17
- Fulham 1–0 Leeds United2025-09-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
